Forex Seasonality, Month by Month
https://fxabsolute.com/stats/GBPUSD.json.
GBP/USD by month
| Month | Avg daily range | Days closing up | Days sampled |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 98.4 | 47.2% | 125 |
| February | 96.4 | 51.4% | 109 |
| March | 97.2 | 46.7% | 122 |
| April | 95.1 | 49.2% | 126 |
| May | 91.2 | 56.6% | 99 |
| June | 100 | 48% | 102 |
| July | 95.5 | 48.2% | 110 |
| August | 91.7 | 46.3% | 108 |
| September | 107.5 | 43.5% | 108 |
| October | 108.2 | 43.4% | 106 |
| November | 106 | 51.5% | 103 |
| December | 90.8 | 54.5% | 110 |
The "closing up" column is where caution is needed. Each month has around 111 days behind it — about five years' worth — and a share of 43% or 55% at that sample size is not far outside what chance produces. The range column is the more trustworthy half of this table.
The same months, other instruments
| Instrument | Widest month | Range | Narrowest month | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | October | 108.2 | December | 90.8 |
| EUR/USD | November | 86.3 | December | 67.6 |
| USD/JPY | August | 132.5 | February | 104.7 |
| GBP/JPY | October | 176.8 | February | 143.2 |
| Gold (XAU/USD) | March | 574.6 | August | 265 |
How much to trust five samples
Five Octobers is five observations. A month that looks 15% wider than another may simply have contained one memorable week. The pattern worth acting on is the broad one — a quieter mid-summer and a busier autumn show up across instruments — rather than the exact ordering, which would reshuffle with another two years of data.
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Questions
What is the most volatile month in forex?
In this sample, October for GBP/USD at 108.2 pips a day. With around five observations per month, treat the ordering as indicative.
Which month is quietest?
December, averaging 90.8 pips a day on GBP/USD.
Is forex seasonality reliable?
The range side is reasonably consistent across instruments — quieter mid-summer, busier autumn. The direction side is not: at roughly five years per month, a 43% or 55% up-share is close to what chance alone would produce.
Beginner exploration
Three questions to help you use this page
Open each answer for a plain-language way to read Forex Seasonality, Month by Month, test it carefully and decide what to explore next.
What does “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” mean for a beginner?
This page focuses on “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month”.October is GBP/USD's widest month at 108.2 pips a day, December its narrowest at 90.8. Monthly range and direction across five instruments.For “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month”, a beginner should identify what the evidence guide measures, assumes or teaches before acting on its conclusion.Treat this page's account of “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” as a learning reference rather than a prediction, signal or promise of future performance.
How should a beginner use this page to explore “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month”?
For “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month”, confirm the population, sample size, clock, units and calculation behind the headline number.While exploring “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month”, compare the median, spread of outcomes and exceptions instead of reading only the average or best row.Keep your “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” record honest: use the statistic to frame a test or risk assumption, not to predict the next candle.Before leaving “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month”, recheck the result on a separate period before turning a descriptive pattern into a rule.
How can AI help explore “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” responsibly?
Turn one idea from “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” into a rule with explicit inputs, dates, costs and pass-or-fail conditions.Ask AI to expose missing assumptions in that “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” test, not to guess the next market move.Use the FXAbsolute AI Backtesting Lab to inspect calculations connected to “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” and the assumptions behind them.Reproduce any important “Forex Seasonality, Month by Month” result and reserve unseen data before deciding that an apparent pattern is useful.
Continue your exploration of Forex Seasonality, Month by Month with the beginner AI prompt guide, or inspect public calculations in the AI Backtesting Lab.