{"slug":"confluence","title":"Confluence","tagline":"Two conditions can meet without becoming independent evidence.","answer":"This example combines a bullish wick-defined FVG with the lower half of a previously fixed sixteen-bar range. The gap midpoint lies beneath the reference midpoint.","read":"Build the range before the three-candle formation starts. Then confirm the gap and compare the two midpoints. Keep the range and gap definitions independent of the later outcome.","caution":"Two labels derived from the same price sequence are not two independent confirmations of profitability. This scene does not publish a win rate.","practice":"Record which conditions were known at confirmation. Test the combined rule against each condition alone before drawing performance conclusions.","id":"xauusd-m15-confluence-1780326900","symbol":"XAUUSD","timeframe":"M15","provenance":{"file":"public/data/XAUUSD_M1.bin","sha256":"491fb3325ee1e68bb013b7626c00933efc6f6073ff77f5846ef870b80a77535d","sourceRows":1989529,"sourceGapIntervals":1835,"provider":"Dukascopy historical XAUUSD bid prices","sourceUrl":"https://www.dukascopy.com/swiss/english/marketwatch/historical/","basis":"bid","timezone":"UTC","interval":"[open, open + 15 minutes)","aggregation":"Only UTC-aligned buckets containing all 15 consecutive M1 observations. Missing buckets are excluded; examples require continuous M15 windows.","selection":"First qualifying continuous June 2026 window in chronological order for each declared rule. Teaching examples, not a population performance sample.","ruleVersion":"atlas-1.0.0","sourceRevision":"cd18dcbbc384501ac3faffc2c18f60266ece6780"},"candles":[{"t":1780317900,"o":4507.134765625,"h":4510.3251953125,"l":4498.44482421875,"c":4501.94482421875},{"t":1780318800,"o":4502.365234375,"h":4503.76513671875,"l":4472.125,"c":4483.89501953125},{"t":1780319700,"o":4483.9951171875,"h":4489.455078125,"l":4462.28515625,"c":4464.53515625},{"t":1780320600,"o":4464.51513671875,"h":4478.4951171875,"l":4458.72509765625,"c":4467.01513671875},{"t":1780321500,"o":4466.9951171875,"h":4469.3251953125,"l":4448.10498046875,"c":4449.634765625},{"t":1780322400,"o":4447.90478515625,"h":4461.884765625,"l":4447.51513671875,"c":4461.134765625},{"t":1780323300,"o":4461.03515625,"h":4464.6748046875,"l":4449.52490234375,"c":4456.1650390625},{"t":1780324200,"o":4455.96484375,"h":4461.48486328125,"l":4453.5849609375,"c":4459.884765625},{"t":1780325100,"o":4459.78515625,"h":4461.115234375,"l":4452.205078125,"c":4458.634765625},{"t":1780326000,"o":4458.64501953125,"h":4465.125,"l":4455.3251953125,"c":4464.10498046875},{"t":1780326900,"o":4464.10498046875,"h":4470.1748046875,"l":4463.03515625,"c":4468.14501953125},{"t":1780327800,"o":4468.125,"h":4479.65478515625,"l":4468.03515625,"c":4472.10498046875},{"t":1780328700,"o":4472.21484375,"h":4475.51513671875,"l":4468.43798828125,"c":4474.044921875},{"t":1780329600,"o":4473.9248046875,"h":4478.02490234375,"l":4464.955078125,"c":4466.9951171875},{"t":1780330500,"o":4466.955078125,"h":4469.39501953125,"l":4462.7548828125,"c":4467.8349609375},{"t":1780331400,"o":4467.8349609375,"h":4471.94482421875,"l":4467.55517578125,"c":4467.884765625},{"t":1780332300,"o":4467.884765625,"h":4481.955078125,"l":4467.18798828125,"c":4479.875},{"t":1780333200,"o":4479.884765625,"h":4480.77490234375,"l":4471.205078125,"c":4474.794921875},{"t":1780334100,"o":4474.76513671875,"h":4482.875,"l":4472.115234375,"c":4482.43505859375}],"focus":[8,9,10],"marks":[{"low":4480.150146484375,"high":4480.150146484375,"label":"Range midpoint","from":7},{"low":4461.115234375,"high":4463.03515625,"label":"Gap","from":10}],"recognition":10,"initial":10,"confirmationTime":1780327800,"observationEnd":1780335000,"facts":{},"observation":"Finite displayed window only. OHLC crossing does not prove trading at every intervening price or intrabar event order. No trade P&L is measured.","counterexample":{"slug":"confluence","title":"Confluence","tagline":"Two conditions can meet without becoming independent evidence.","answer":"This example combines a bullish wick-defined FVG with the lower half of a previously fixed sixteen-bar range. The gap midpoint lies beneath the reference midpoint.","read":"Build the range before the three-candle formation starts. Then confirm the gap and compare the two midpoints. Keep the range and gap definitions independent of the later outcome.","caution":"Two labels derived from the same price sequence are not two independent confirmations of profitability. This scene does not publish a win rate.","practice":"Record which conditions were known at confirmation. Test the combined rule against each condition alone before drawing performance conclusions.","id":"xauusd-m15-confluence-non-event-1780328700","symbol":"XAUUSD","timeframe":"M15","candles":[{"t":1780301700,"o":4495.865234375,"h":4496.71484375,"l":4490.17822265625,"c":4495.7451171875},{"t":1780302600,"o":4495.85498046875,"h":4500.23486328125,"l":4492.455078125,"c":4499.98486328125},{"t":1780303500,"o":4499.73486328125,"h":4502.3349609375,"l":4495.44482421875,"c":4497.85498046875},{"t":1780304400,"o":4497.705078125,"h":4500.544921875,"l":4497.5048828125,"c":4499.51513671875},{"t":1780305300,"o":4499.51513671875,"h":4506.1748046875,"l":4496.1748046875,"c":4496.1748046875},{"t":1780306200,"o":4496.1748046875,"h":4499.205078125,"l":4488.96484375,"c":4498.1650390625},{"t":1780307100,"o":4498.1650390625,"h":4498.31494140625,"l":4493.72509765625,"c":4495.80517578125},{"t":1780308000,"o":4495.794921875,"h":4502.0048828125,"l":4495.794921875,"c":4501.384765625},{"t":1780308900,"o":4501.4248046875,"h":4503.365234375,"l":4495.955078125,"c":4500.72509765625},{"t":1780309800,"o":4500.76513671875,"h":4507.31494140625,"l":4500.3251953125,"c":4505.7548828125},{"t":1780310700,"o":4505.794921875,"h":4510.78515625,"l":4502.3251953125,"c":4503.78515625},{"t":1780311600,"o":4503.77490234375,"h":4506.55517578125,"l":4499.60498046875,"c":4504.77490234375},{"t":1780312500,"o":4504.8349609375,"h":4512.78515625,"l":4503.96484375,"c":4510.48486328125},{"t":1780313400,"o":4510.43505859375,"h":4512.14501953125,"l":4506.02490234375,"c":4506.97509765625},{"t":1780314300,"o":4506.97509765625,"h":4509.5751953125,"l":4505.21484375,"c":4505.634765625},{"t":1780315200,"o":4505.634765625,"h":4509.40478515625,"l":4503.0048828125,"c":4503.18505859375},{"t":1780316100,"o":4503.03515625,"h":4507.56494140625,"l":4497.22509765625,"c":4505.35498046875},{"t":1780317000,"o":4505.30517578125,"h":4508.1650390625,"l":4497.46484375,"c":4507.18505859375},{"t":1780317900,"o":4507.134765625,"h":4510.3251953125,"l":4498.44482421875,"c":4501.94482421875},{"t":1780318800,"o":4502.365234375,"h":4503.76513671875,"l":4472.125,"c":4483.89501953125},{"t":1780319700,"o":4483.9951171875,"h":4489.455078125,"l":4462.28515625,"c":4464.53515625},{"t":1780320600,"o":4464.51513671875,"h":4478.4951171875,"l":4458.72509765625,"c":4467.01513671875},{"t":1780321500,"o":4466.9951171875,"h":4469.3251953125,"l":4448.10498046875,"c":4449.634765625},{"t":1780322400,"o":4447.90478515625,"h":4461.884765625,"l":4447.51513671875,"c":4461.134765625},{"t":1780323300,"o":4461.03515625,"h":4464.6748046875,"l":4449.52490234375,"c":4456.1650390625},{"t":1780324200,"o":4455.96484375,"h":4461.48486328125,"l":4453.5849609375,"c":4459.884765625},{"t":1780325100,"o":4459.78515625,"h":4461.115234375,"l":4452.205078125,"c":4458.634765625},{"t":1780326000,"o":4458.64501953125,"h":4465.125,"l":4455.3251953125,"c":4464.10498046875},{"t":1780326900,"o":4464.10498046875,"h":4470.1748046875,"l":4463.03515625,"c":4468.14501953125},{"t":1780327800,"o":4468.125,"h":4479.65478515625,"l":4468.03515625,"c":4472.10498046875},{"t":1780328700,"o":4472.21484375,"h":4475.51513671875,"l":4468.43798828125,"c":4474.044921875},{"t":1780329600,"o":4473.9248046875,"h":4478.02490234375,"l":4464.955078125,"c":4466.9951171875},{"t":1780330500,"o":4466.955078125,"h":4469.39501953125,"l":4462.7548828125,"c":4467.8349609375},{"t":1780331400,"o":4467.8349609375,"h":4471.94482421875,"l":4467.55517578125,"c":4467.884765625},{"t":1780332300,"o":4467.884765625,"h":4481.955078125,"l":4467.18798828125,"c":4479.875},{"t":1780333200,"o":4479.884765625,"h":4480.77490234375,"l":4471.205078125,"c":4474.794921875},{"t":1780334100,"o":4474.76513671875,"h":4482.875,"l":4472.115234375,"c":4482.43505859375},{"t":1780335000,"o":4482.4951171875,"h":4491.384765625,"l":4480.2451171875,"c":4491.31494140625},{"t":1780335900,"o":4491.26513671875,"h":4495.384765625,"l":4487.26513671875,"c":4487.30517578125}],"focus":[28,29,30],"marks":[],"recognition":30,"initial":30,"isCounterexample":true,"candidateTime":1780328700,"explanation":"The full combination is absent: a newly confirmed bullish gap with its lower boundary above the earlier range floor and its midpoint below the frozen range midpoint."}}